Altcoin setups to watch before the new week opens
Weekend trading in crypto is tricky: liquidity thins out, moves get exaggerated, and headlines around macro and geopolitics can trigger sharp wicks in both directions. But if you approach it with a clear plan, strict invalidation levels, and patience, it can also be a good time to set "stink bids" and let the market come to you.
This guide walks through a weekend game plan for Bitcoin and a basket of popular altcoins, focusing on specific price zones, how to wait for confirmation, and where invalidations sit. The ideas are framed for both spot and leveraged traders who treat leverage as a tool, not a casino ticket.
How to think about weekend trades
Before diving into individual charts, it helps to understand the overall approach:
1. Trade the range until it breaks. Many coins are chopping inside clear ranges. The core idea is simple: long at support, short at resistance, and assume the range holds until price cleanly accepts outside it.
2. Wait for confirmation. A level being hit is not enough. The preferred confirmation is a 1‑hour candle close inside the planned buy or sell zone. If price just wicks through and immediately reverses, that’s noise, not a signal.
3. Use invalidation, not hope. Each setup has an invalidation: typically a 1‑hour close beyond a key level. When that happens, you close the trade and move on. Losing potential profit is not the same as losing actual capital.
4. Be okay with front-runs. Sometimes price will reverse just above your ideal long or short zone. Missing a trade is fine. Chasing and entering late is how you get trapped.
5. Respect weekend liquidity. With thinner order books, wicks are common. That’s why candle close invalidations are preferred over tight hard stops that can be hunted by a single spike.
Bitcoin: waiting for a deeper weekend sweep
Bitcoin recently put in a big short squeeze followed by a sharp drop that tagged the low $82,000s. The expectation for the weekend is still bearish in the short term, with a potential sweep of lower support before any meaningful bounce.
Key idea: Look for a drop into the mid‑$83,000s, possibly wicking into the low‑$82,000s, then watch for a confirmed bounce to long the range.
Planned long zone
- Primary area of interest: roughly $83,600–$82,800
- Deeper wick possible: around $82,700–$82,000
Confirmation to go long
- Wait for a 1‑hour candle close back inside the $83,600–$82,800 zone after a sweep lower.
- No close, no trade. Hitting the level alone is not enough.
Invalidation
- 1‑hour close below ~$82,500 invalidates the long idea and is a signal to cut the position.
This is pure range trading: if the range is accepted again, you look to long support and later take profit back towards the mid or top of the range. If price breaks and accepts below, you step aside.
For more context on why some traders are comfortable buying dips during uncertain macro weeks, you may find this helpful: why I’m ignoring the FUD and buying this bitcoin and altcoin dip.
Ethereum: buying the bottom of the range
Ethereum has already tagged the desired long area once and bounced. The structure is similar to Bitcoin: a range with a clear support zone that can offer a second chance entry if revisited.
Planned long zone
- Support range: $2,672–$2,650
Confirmation to go long
- 1‑hour candle close inside $2,672–$2,650.
- Same logic as BTC: you want acceptance inside the range, not just a wick.
Idea
From this zone, the plan is to long the bottom of the range and look for a move back towards the range highs, taking partial profits at intermediate resistance levels.
Cardano (ADA): a quiet long at support
ADA has been holding a key support area with a few deviations below. That structure supports a range-long idea from current levels.
Current view
- Price is trading near the original long entry level after a 1‑hour close back inside the support range.
- This makes it a relatively low-risk long, provided you respect invalidation.
Invalidation
- 1‑hour close below 0.2410 (24.10 cents) invalidates the long.
Take-profit plan
- First target: ~0.2486
- Second target: ~0.2530
- Final target ("final boss"): ~0.2586
Given it’s the weekend, the idea is to size conservatively, possibly laddering limit orders instead of going all-in at once.
XRP: shorting the top of a bull flag
XRP has been moving inside a large bull flag structure, with price oscillating between clear support and resistance lines. Even though the pattern is technically bullish, the near-term plan is actually to short resistance.
Structure
- Price is range-trading inside a rising bull flag.
- Previous resistance has flipped to support, which is constructive on higher time frames.
- In the short term, price is in the "middle of nowhere" — not ideal for entries.
Plan
- Wait for price to move up to the top of the flag / first major resistance.
- Look for a 1‑hour rejection at that level (multiple candle rejections are ideal).
- Use that as a trigger to short back into the range.
Risk
- Because it’s a bull flag, any clean breakout and acceptance above the flag invalidates the short idea and could lead to a strong upside move.
Solana (SOL): patient bids below
Solana looks like it wants to dip into a lower liquidity pocket before offering a high‑reward long. The current move up is not fully trusted yet.
Planned long zone
- Target area: $118–$116
- Ideal sweep: around $117 to flush late longs before reversing
Confirmation and invalidation
- Wait for a sweep into $118–$116, then a 1‑hour close back inside the zone.
- 1‑hour close below ~$116.26 invalidates the long.
Because the distance between the sweep level and invalidation is small (less than a dollar), even a 10x leveraged position can be managed with tight risk.
Hedera (HBAR): buying the dip after a sharp rejection
HBAR is known for moving aggressively in both directions. After a strong rejection from resistance, the plan is to let it fall back into a well-defined buy zone and then look for a bounce.
Planned long zone
- Buy area: $0.09998–$0.09912
Invalidation
- 1‑hour close below $0.09830
Target
- Short-term target: around $0.1007
These are day trades, not swing trades. The broader swing view is on hold until there’s more clarity on macro risks and after the expected larger correction later in the cycle.
NEAR Protocol: shorting a broken support retest
NEAR recently suffered a sharp move related to a hack incident, but even after funds were returned, the chart tells its own story: a major support has been lost and is now being retested as resistance.
Current view
- Price has already closed a 1‑hour candle inside the planned short area.
- This is a classic support-turned-resistance setup.
Plan
- Short at or near current resistance, or wait for a slightly higher retest for a better entry.
- Accept the possibility of a front-run: if price doesn’t give the perfect retest, let it go.
Target
- Final downside target for the move: around $4.43
This is a short-term trade idea based on structure, not a long-term judgment on the project.
Uniswap (UNI): buying the dip into major support
UNI is pressing against a strong resistance zone that has rejected price multiple times. Instead of longing into resistance, the idea is to wait for a pullback and buy support for a high risk‑reward move.
Planned long zone
- Buy area: $9.00–$8.99
Rationale
- UNI has failed twice to break a major resistance, suggesting another drop is likely.
- The planned long area aligns with previous support.
Risk-reward
- Projected trade offers roughly a 4:1 reward to risk.
- There’s also a potential inverse head-and-shoulders structure forming, which could propel UNI higher if the neckline breaks later.
Injective (INJ): range-long back to the highs
INJ is trading inside a clear range with a well-defined support and resistance. The plan is straightforward: buy near the bottom of the range and aim for the top.
Planned long zone
- Buy area: $87.60–$86.70
Invalidation
- 1‑hour close below $86
Target
- Full take-profit at the top of the range where shorts are likely to cluster.
The logic is classic range trading: enter at support, exit at resistance, then reassess for a possible short if price shows weakness at the highs.
Stellar (XLM): mirroring XRP with a range-long
XLM is showing a structure that closely mirrors XRP, with a tightening range and a clear support zone.
Planned long zone
- Buy area: $0.2123–$0.21
Confirmation and invalidation
- Wait for a 1‑hour close inside the buy range.
- 1‑hour close below $0.2066 invalidates the long.
The expectation is a drop into support, a confirmed bounce, and then a move higher as XLM continues to coil for a larger move.
Quant (QNT): range-trading a strong uptrend
Quant has been one of the strongest performers recently, refusing to give the deep pullback many traders are hoping for. The near-term view is that it may push to all-time highs before a sharp correction, but within that, there’s a clear range to trade.
Range structure
- Approximate range: $200–$300
Planned long zone
- Buy area: $240–$230 for a move towards $275–$280
This is another example of range trading a strong asset: buy near the lower bound of the range, sell near the upper bound, and avoid chasing breakouts without confirmation.
Curve (CRV): potential long back to the highs
CRV is sitting near a support area that has already been tested and respected. The structure suggests there may be a long opportunity with strong upside if support holds.
Planned long zone
- Support area: roughly $3.60–$3.69 (example levels based on recent tests)
Invalidation
- 1‑hour close below the recent swing low under support.
Target
- Move back towards the recent highs, offering up to ~7:1 reward to risk on the setup.
TOP: shorting a lost support retest
TOP has lost a key support and is now in the process of retesting that area from below, which often provides a clean short entry.
Planned short zone
- Sell area: 0.0296–0.0300
Invalidation
- 1‑hour close above 0.0307
Target
- First profit zone: around 0.0281–0.0282
- Final target ("final boss"): around 0.0278
This is a straightforward support‑turned‑resistance short with a defined stop and modest but clean downside.
ASTR: aggressive short with high reward
ASTR is pressing into a resistance area that has repeatedly capped price, but it also has a history of brief squeezes above that level before dumping, especially on venues like Binance.
Planned short zone
- Sell into the main resistance band, allowing for minor wicks above.
Invalidation
- 1‑hour close above the recent local highs.
Target
- Downside target back towards prior support, offering roughly 8–9:1 reward to risk.
Because of the tendency for short squeezes, this setup should be sized conservatively, without over-leveraging.
ONDO: short-term pullback inside a bullish higher timeframe
ONDO looks structurally bullish on the higher time frame, having broken out above resistance and retested it as support. However, on the intraday chart, there’s room for a short-term pullback.
Planned short zone
- Sell area: just under $0.5154, after a rejection at local resistance.
Invalidation
- 1‑hour close above $0.5154
Target
- First target: retest of ~$0.50–$0.51
- Final target: $0.46–$0.44
This is an intraday countertrend short inside a broader bullish structure, so it’s important not to overstay the trade if buyers step back in aggressively.
Lido (LDO): spot-friendly pullback and a tactical short
LDO has already delivered a huge move from sub‑$1 levels to nearly $5, following a clean breakout from a cup‑and‑handle pattern. After such a run, price is now pulling back into prior resistance turned support.
Spot view
- The current zone looks attractive for spot accumulation: resistance has been broken and is now acting as support.
- Fundamentally, LDO remains one of the key DeFi plays, which supports a long-term bullish bias.
Short-term leveraged view
- Planned short zone: $3.53–$3.61, targeting a move back to around $3.08.
- Invalidation: 1‑hour close above the local resistance near $3.60–$3.61.
This is a good example of how a trader can be long-term bullish on an asset (spot) while still taking short-term short setups on leverage when structure suggests a pullback.
Sui (SUI): buying the dip into support
SUI is setting up a straightforward dip-buy scenario into a local support area.
Planned long zone
- Buy area: $1.142–$1.13
Invalidation
- 1‑hour close below $1.10
Target
- Short-term target: $1.21–$1.22
This is a clean, mechanical range-long: buy support, sell into the next resistance, and avoid overcomplicating the structure.
Putting it all together: discipline over prediction
The setups above all share the same DNA: clearly defined levels, a requirement for confirmation via candle closes, and strict invalidation points. Rather than trying to predict every move, the focus is on letting the market come into your areas and then reacting.
Some final principles to keep in mind:
- Don’t short support or long resistance. If you’re asking whether to short into support or long into resistance, the answer is usually no.
- Be patient. Weekend markets can lure traders into revenge trading after a big move. Stick to your zones.
- Take partial profits. Don’t wait only for the "final boss" target. Take some off at the first support (for shorts) or first resistance (for longs) so you’re not giving everything back on a reversal.
- Size down on the weekend. Lower liquidity means higher wick risk. Smaller positions with clear invalidations can keep you in the game.
If you want more ideas on navigating volatile weeks and macro-driven moves, it’s worth reading why this week could shock crypto markets alongside this trading plan.
Above all, remember: missing a trade is fine. Protecting capital and trading your plan is what keeps you around for the next opportunity.
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